Despite being affected by the US’s tariff policy, Vietnam continues to stand out as an attractive destination for foreign direct investment (FDI), particularly over the medium and long term, analysts held.

Do tariffs impact FDI into Vietnam?

Vietnam records over 24.1 billion USD in registered FDI capital in the first seven months of 2025, a 27.3% year-on-year increase.

A recurring question is whether US tariff measures are dampening FDI into Vietnam. Figures from the Foreign Investment Agency (FIA) under the Ministry of Finance suggest otherwise.

Vietnam recorded over 24.1 billion USD in registered capital in the first seven months of 2025, a 27.3% year-on-year increase, and 13.6 billion USD in disbursed capital, up 8.4%.

FDI inflows into Vietnam remain highly positive despite external headwinds, affirmed Minister of Finance Nguyen Van Thang. He underlined Vietnam’s targeted FDI strategy, political stability, favourable investment environment, and strong positioning.

Nonetheless, some impact is inevitable. The US has imposed reciprocal tariffs on many countries, including Vietnam. Vietnamese exports now face a 20% tariff, compared to 19% for Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia; 15% for the Republic of Korea (RoK) and Japan; and 25% for India.

In today’s global context, geopolitical and policy-related risks remain, the FIA warned, adding that the US imposition of a 20% reciprocal tariff on certain Vietnamese exports continues to pose risks to FDI inflows and bilateral trade.

While overall FDI remains strong, there are signs of strain. Large-scale, high-tech projects have become less frequent, and newly registered capital has shown limited improvement.

In July, there were 266 new projects with total registered capital of 743.9 million USD, down 67.3% from June. Over the first seven months of the year, new registrations totalled over 10 billion USD, an 11.1% year-on-year decrease.

The FIA noted that the current 20% tariff, far lower than the previously proposed 46%, is considered a “softened measure” that helps mitigate wider impacts and maintain investor confidence.

Vietnam’s investment appeal

A view of the 1.3-billion-USD Lego factory in Ho Chi Minh City.

In a time of global uncertainty and increasing competition for FDI, Vietnam remains a leading destination. Vietcombank Securities (VCBS) analysts recently highlighted that Vietnam’s reciprocal tariff is still lower than that of Brunei and India (25%), and only slightly higher than regional peers such as Thailand, Cambodia, Indonesia, and Malaysia (19%).

Vietnam possesses clear competitive advantages in production and FDI attraction, VCBS asserted, underlining that the country is expected to continue positioning itself as a key player in global supply chains.

VCBS analysts showed concern over risks linked to tariffs on transhipped goods. In its recent review of the EU–Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA), the European Chamber of Commerce in Vietnam (EuroCham) flagged ambiguity around the US definition of “transhipped goods”, which may affect trade flows and investment.

Boosting localisation and ensuring transparency in supply chains are seen as critical steps in reducing both trade and investment-related risks.

According to the FIA, major investment funds such as Dragon Capital and VinaCapital view the 20% tariff as “predictable and acceptable”, and not likely to alter medium- or long-term trends.

Some FDI enterprises are using this as an opportunity to expand operations in Vietnam, raise localisation rates, and meet origin requirements to mitigate future tariff risks, the agency noted. This trend supports Vietnam’s selective FDI approach, which targets high-tech, value-added, and sustainable industries.

Despite existing risks, Vietnam is still seen as a secure and appealing investment destination. A recent reform is expected to further strengthen this perception - from July 1, 2025, Vietnam officially implemented a two-tier local government model, designed to clarify responsibilities across government levels and improve policy responsiveness and administrative efficiency.

This structural reform is anticipated to enhance governance and increase confidence among foreign investors amid a volatile global landscape, the FIA leader stated.

Diplomatic initiatives are also reinforcing FDI momentum. During a recent state visit to the RoK by Party General Secretary To Lam, both nations issued a Joint Statement to deepen the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between the two countries, with investment cooperation identified as a key area.

Vietnam and the RoK committed to encouraging Korean enterprises to increase their presence in Vietnam, especially in priority sectors such as high-tech industrial parks, AI, semiconductors, infrastructure, renewable energy, smart cities, and global value chains.

This collaboration is expected to accelerate Korean investment into Vietnam’s strategic industries and further strengthen Vietnam’s overall FDI trajectory.

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Registered FDI surges 32.6% in H1, highest in 15 years

Newly registered capital accounted for nearly 9.3 billion USD across 1,988 new projects. Meanwhile, adjusted capital reached approximately 8.95 billion USD through 826 existing projects and investment via capital contributions and share purchases totalled nearly 3.3 billion USD.

 

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The Ministry of Finance is drafting policies to establish specialised AI and smart industrial parks to raise the technological profile of FDI projects and create spillover effects for local businesses.

 

FDI maintains strong momentum

Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow into Viet Nam continues to show robust growth, reflecting the strong confidence of international investors in the country’s stable business environment and long-term development potential, despite complex global economic fluctuations.

Bac Ninh's FDI atraction sees two-fold rise in four month

To date, Bac Ninh is home to 2,475 active FDI projects, with a total registered capital exceeding 31 billion USD.

 

FDI inflow into Vietnam surges by nearly 40% in four months

While newly-registered capital declined by 23.8% to 5.59 billion USD, additional capital injections into existing projects increased nearly 3.9 times to 6.4 billion USD. Capital contributions and share purchases in the four months reached 1.83 billion USD, or a 2.1-fold increase year-on-year.